Résilience HDF - Résilience Hauts-de-France

Modeling of the spatial propagation of covid-19 taking into account the physical and social environment – SPACE-covid

Submission summary

Obtaining the most common epidemiological models (in particular those on which the R0 is done) is based on a decomposition into population compartments. Here, it is split into four compartments of individuals: "Suspected of being infected", "Exposed", "Infected", "Retired" (no longer participating in the spread of the virus). In these compartmental models, the only particularity of an individual is therefore the epidemiological class to which he or she belongs. Physical or social heterogeneities are absent. In this project we will therefore question the social bases of the models in order to reintroduce the social gravity in order to provide new indicators of the Covid-19 epidemic and better predict its evolution.

Project coordination

Youcef Mammeri (Laboratoire Amiénois de Mathématique Fondamentale et Appliquée)

The author of this summary is the project coordinator, who is responsible for the content of this summary. The ANR declines any responsibility as for its contents.

Partner

CURAPP Centre Universitaire de Recherches sur l'Action Publique et le Politique
LAMFA Laboratoire Amiénois de Mathématique Fondamentale et Appliquée

Help of the ANR 132,450 euros
Beginning and duration of the scientific project: May 2021 - 18 Months

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